Following on from the Qwest-Verizon Wireless news, and the negative impact on Sprint, there are lots of rumors this week suggesting that Deutsche Telekom is considering buying Sprint:
Deutsche Telekom AG is weighing a bid to acquire Sprint Nextel Corp. that could catapult the German telecommunications giant’s wireless arm, T-Mobile USA, to the No. 1 position in the U.S., according to people familiar with the matter.
Well, yes, technically, it would put the combined entity in the number one position in terms of subscribers, but Deutsche Telekom would have to be absolutely bonkers to consider such a move. Sprint is already
suffering from its inability to merge two incompatible networks (iDEN and CDMA) - DT would have to be a total glutton for punishment to add a third, also incompatible, GSM network to the mix. Of course, you could add in WiMAX and make it four…
The theory is that Sprint’s depressed share price makes this an attractive purchase, but even so it would be a huge nightmare to merge these companies together, and would require some really dramatic changes to even begin to make it work. I say this even though I’m still somewhat confident things can be turned around at Sprint in the long term. I think that there is potential for growth again in the next year or two, and the WiMAX rollout, though risky, might just pay off too.
I know Deutsche Telekom is hugely dependent on T-Mobile’s growth to offset the mess at home, but of course this move would also take that trend in the wrong direction, dragging down the company’s overall growth path without providing any obvious benefits. Any synergies would be outweighed by the amount of investment needed to reconcile the three different network operations. The timing is also odd, since T-Mobile has supposedly now completed its 3G buildout and is getting ready to launch 3G services in June. I just have to hope that this is one of those rumors cooked up by a journalist on a slow news day and that it passes just as quickly as it has come.



